margEVT: Regularized Point Processes and Stochastic Marginalization for
Extremes
Implements a non-stationary extreme value analysis framework
by coupling a covariate-driven non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP)
with (adaptive) elastic-net regularization, analytical gradients and a
lower bound on the shape parameter.
Provides methods for estimating conditional return levels and
unconditional (marginalized) return levels via parametric stochastic
integration over stable vector autoregressive VAR(p) covariate
trajectories, or non-parametric annual-block resampling. Supports
block-specific penalty controls, BIC selection along a regularization
path, Karush-Kuhn-Tucker convergence checks, time-rescaling residual
diagnostics, conditional parametric bootstrap inference, and
walk-forward assessment.
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